Is Nuclear War Really Unthinkable?
In spite of the many
uncertainties of our study we do have a great deal of confidence in some partial
conclusions -- such as, that a nation like the United States or the Soviet Union
could handle each of the problems of radioactivity, physical destruction, or
likely levels of casualties, if they occurred by themselves. That is, we
believe if either nation were to be dusted with radioactivity in a wartime
manner, and if nothing else happened, this radioactivity could, with minor
preparations for a small attack and elaborate preparations for a large
one, be handled.
HERMAN KAHN: On Thermonuclear War
Nuclear winter is the most recent attempt to prove
that winning a nuclear war is impossible. A new apocalyptic theory was
necessary from the viewpoint of the antinuclear activists who originated and
publicized nuclear winter because other theories of apocalypse, such as the
fallout theory, had been discredited by the scientific community.
PETER VINCENT PRY: Nuclear Wars,
Exchanges and Outcomes
In modern warfare, nuclear weapons can be
employed for various missions: strategic, operational, and tactical.
From a purely military point of view, a nuclear weapon is incomparably more
effective than a conventional weapon. It permits the execution of military
missions in a considerably shorter time than was possible in past wars.
For this reason, experts believe that the nuclear weapon is the most powerful
and effective instrument by which to destroy an opponent in any type of
operation, or in war as a whole.
V.D. SOKOLOVSKII: Soviet Military Strategy
idea of killing
millions of people
to achieve a
absurd from the
point of view of
From the point of
view of positional
advantage, it is
J.R. NYQUIST: Origins of the
Fourth World War
nuclear attack is
feasible and in
the interests of
the Soviet Union
in the event that
war seems to them
to be imminent,
attack should be
adequacy of our
forces; it should
be taken more
seriously for the
planning of the
posture. Yet, the
makes U.S. and
NATO forces appear
more healthy than
they actually are.
It is a risky and
This is not to
ability to detect
warning, and to
should not be
pursued. Nor is it
suggested that in
the event of
not be sought; but
only that the
adequacy of our
forces should not
rest upon the
strategic or even
only make Soviet
R. VAN CLEAVE:
USA war preparations
No civil defense.
No national missile defense.
No road or rail-mobile ICBMs.
Abandonment of the Panama Canal.
U.S. officials have allowed nuclear warhead
secrets to leak out to China.
The U.S. pays Russia billions of dollars to
encourage disarmament measures, but these billions are diverted to Russian
The U.S. Navy is short of fuel.
The U.S. Army is short of recruits and
officers, and has only 10 divisions, with 8 of them unfit for combat.
The U.S. Air Force is facing pilot shortages,
and many aircraft remain grounded for lack of spare parts.
Only 18 ballistic missile submarines remain
in the U.S. Navy, with only 9 at sea on any given day.
America's ballistic missile submarine
commanders no longer have the launch codes to fire their nuclear weapons,
but must rely on the president to send them the launch codes in the event of
a war emergency.
Shop until you drop.
Wave good-bye to your country.
Say hello to your new landlord, Mr.
Russian war preparations
Moscow has outfitted hundreds of fighter-bombers with
additional fuel tanks and in-flight refueling capability, augmenting
Russia's intercontinental strike capability.
Russia has been constructing large numbers of military
transport aircraft for foreign customers who do not exist.
Russia has been building and accumulating dry docks even
though, at the moment, no foreign customers for them exist.
Russia has recently fielded a new battle tank; a new
state-of-the-art fighter; super-quiet submarines which can engage sea, land
and air targets simultaneously; a new attack helicopter and sniper
Russia has developed a revolutionary new rifle-fired
infantry weapon, the so-called vacuum grenade, which can give a single
Russian soldier the firepower of a 155mm howitzer. Russia has begun joint
production of this weapon with the Chinese.
Russia now emphasizes the production of mobile ICBMs like
the Topol-M, which are designed to evade satellite detection, permitting the
Russians to cheat on arms control agreements.
Russia continues to develop biological and chemical weapons,
sometimes with the use of U.S. funds. According to recent defectors, Russia
is now working on a super-plague weapon.
Russian diplomacy is clearly attempting to build an
anti-American alliance which includes countries like China, North Korea,
Cuba, Iraq, Libya, South Africa, Syria, Venezuela, Vietnam, Iran and India.
Russian Spetsnaz commandos continue to train with suitcase
nukes against U.S. targets.
Russia is hoarding strategic metals which are vital for
keeping up war production through the first months of a nuclear world
Russia is importing more food than needed for domestic
consumption. At the same time, Russia has constructed huge underground
nuclear-proof food storage facilities.
Russia has developed an impressive engineering rescue
capability, organized into special military formations positioned outside
large cities, for rescuing citizens trapped beneath rubble in the event of a
Recent Russian movies and pop songs depict Americans as
stupid animals who deserve to die. In keeping with this theme, NATO is
depicted as an aggressive alliance, sometimes likened to Hitler's Third
Russia is building huge underground cities, like the one at
Yamantau Mountain in the Urals. These cities are built more than a
thousand feet into the earth and are able to withstand direct nuclear
Russia has been modernizing nuclear bunkers
located beneath Moscow.
Russia has erected a system of national missile defense far
beyond that allowed by the 1972 ABM Treaty. Deploying approximately
10,000 dual-purpose mobile SAM/ABMs, Russia has used a loophole in the
treaty to provide a powerful missile shield. Using a common-sense
approach to ABM defense, Russia's interceptor missiles employ special
nuclear warheads that can destroy incoming warheads without having to score
a direct head-on hit.
Russia is also ahead of the United States in directed energy
weapons that could be used to blind or destroy U.S. early warning
Many of Russia's mafia organizations operate in
collaboration with, or under the supervision of, military intelligence and
the state security services. Organized crime is used to penetrate Western
banks, technology companies, law enforcement and government. Routes used for
smuggling drugs and other contraband are reserved in wartime for bringing
biological, chemical and nuclear weapons into the U.S.
Chinese war preparations
Civil defense drills began in major Chinese cities
around July 2000.
Chinese military commanders have been told that nuclear war
with America could begin at any time.
China has been developing and deploying new road-mobile long
range missiles like the DF-31 and DF-41.
China is modernizing its navy, purchasing advanced Russian
warships and missiles capable of sinking U.S. carriers.
China has been rapidly building a large store of advanced
China has positioned bases to block the main western entry
point into the Pacific, and has acquired indirect control of the Panama
Canal through front companies.
China has formed military ties with Cuba and Venezuela.
China has also penetrated Sudan, and is spreading missile
and nuclear technology to rogue states in Africa and the Middle East.
China has massed troops, aircraft, ships and missiles
China has engaged in war exercises during which U.S. forces
in the Pacific were targeted by Chinese forces.