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Letters to the Editor Subj: Castro the Spinmeister Subj: What's going on? Miscalculating the Russians -- that's what Putin wants, it's like the second-to-last piece of the
plan. I can't believe how many people think Russia is our good old buddy. JRN Replies: Dave, Many in the Al Qaeda network here and in Europe have been arrested, detained or identified. Al Qaeda operatives are being watched as I write these words. This necessarily has a paralyzing effect on the terrorists, resulting in a suspension of operations. I would venture to guess that Al Qaeda and sister organizations are under great pressure in all but a few countries. Perhaps bin Laden's purpose has been served in terms of his ultimate sponsors (be they Chinese, Pakistanis or Russians). We simply don't have a lot of good information about his secret connections with the world's real powers. There have been hints and testimony from sources about Al Qaeda's pre-positioning of nuclear weapons inside the United States. Even Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld admitted being worried. At the same time I cannot forget the words of Col. Stanislav Lunev, who once told me: "If a nuclear weapon is detonated on American soil and they say it is Arab terrorists, don't believe it." Delivering a severe blow to the United States is highly problematic. The United States is a large country. Even inflicting a million casualties would hardly slow us down. Any attack which fails to destroy or cripple us utterly would only serve to energize America toward a new militarism and a strengthened global position. Therefore, great care must be taken when playing with nuclear fire. The U.S. is still asleep, despite the events of 9-11. on another point, you ask about Taiwan and China. In recent days we have seen the breakdown of talks between North and South Korea. The Communists of the North are threatening war, and military exercises are impending. We also see China preparing for a new round of exercises opposite Taiwan. The Far East is vulnerable at this time due to U.S. deployments against Afghanistan. Carriers and troops have been diverted. A window of opportunity has opened. Do the North Koreans and Chinese feel lucky? It does appear that something big and nasty is waiting for us. And waiting, and waiting, etc. The lights burn all night at the Kremlin. And there must be frustration over there since our economy did not collapse after the destruction of the Twin Towers. But our enemy's chief virtue is patience. So their game continues. It is a developing game. They have penetrated our intelligence establishment and government, as we've seen during the Clinton years. They have used criminal networks and drug trafficking to bring weapons of mass destruction into the country. But none of this is enough. It just isn't the right "correlation of forces," as the Leninists would say, to bring decisive victory. And now, everyone wants to know what happens next. I foresee a sequence of devastating moves involving several anti-American players. I am talking about nations like North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, South Africa, China, Iraq and others. I do not know what this move could be, or whether the best laid plans -- in this instance -- will hold together or fall to pieces. But one thing is certain: the Russians are pouring out their oil in an irrational way, as if the Saudi oil were not a factor. I suspect that Oil is going to play a part in this. Oil is blood in the veins of the world economy. Any loss of blood and the world economy suffers shock. All the destabilizing events of the last 15 months, especially in the Middle East and Indonesia, are suggestive. Watch the House of Saud! JRN |